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Slot Rankings - How Wide Receivers Score More Touchdowns in the Slot

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Slot Efficiency

The goal of slot efficiency is of maximizing the number of slot switches that can be made without violating the constraints that are predefined. These constraints can include, for instance, the minimum allowed operational delay (usually expressed as scheduling delays), fairness, equity access, competition environmental goals and many more. The process of distributing slots is a complex one, and optimizing it to meet the desired performance metrics requires careful analysis of all the factors involved.

In general, the process begins by identifying the kinds of requests that need to be prioritized according to established historical precedence. Once the type is identified and the slot allocation model is developed, it is then employed to reduce the delay criteria. Numerous research gaps have been discovered regarding the optimization slot scheduling models particularly when it comes to balancing fairness and efficiency.

ABC (assigned based on velocity) is a common method for prioritizing slot allocation. This method collects the item's information and then determines a group based on velocity. Items that have the highest velocity get the most modern slots, while lower velocity items are placed farther back in the warehouse.

Another crucial aspect of slot efficiency is the distance factor, which measures the amount of space that has to be allocated to support the pick-to-ship process. The calculation considers the speed of the group, racking placements and the handling characteristics of the items.

It is also important to take into consideration the costs of a change in the slot in order to increase slot efficiency. A quick analysis of the typical slot changes can help managers determine the cost of the move, and also the impact it could affect other aspects of slot efficiency, including velocity.

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Perimeter Efficiency

We all know that wide receivers tend to score more touchdowns on targets that are in the perimeter than slot targets, as they're often targeted farther downfield and often have one-on-one coverage. What may be surprising to some, however, is that the top five slot players and the rest of the group score different on perimeter targets.

Of the wide receivers that have been on at least 40 targets the past two seasons, the top five slot scorers on the perimeter routes were all speed receivers: Mike Evans, Amari Cooper, Tyler Lockett and Michael Gallup. The bottom of the list was filled with more possession-based receivers including Chris Godwin and Diontae Johnson. The Bucs will likely move the two latter players into the slot more often during this season, which could increase their targets. However, they'll need to improve their scoring from the perimeter to maintain their top-of-the-line performance.

Speedy wideouts are the main benefits of moving into the slot, since they have a much easier time getting open downfield in the event that their route isn't blocked by a cornerback or linebacker. Corey Coleman is the only wide receiver who isn't a speedy wideout, but could benefit from more slot work. He's a reliable player for intermediate and short routes.

The bottom of the list features more possession-based receivers who perform better on intermediate and short routes than those in deep areas, such as Jerry Jeudy and KJ Hamler. Jeudy is expected to be the Rams principal slot receiver this year, is a sleeper pick. Courtland Cooper and Amari Sutton are likely to play a bigger role in downfield targets. Hamler should be able to perform well on short-to-mid routes, since that's what he did well in 2021 while playing for the Bills. He could be a great replacement for the departing wideout Jordan Matthews in Buffalo.

Percentage of Snaps In Slot

The percentage of snaps that a receiver makes in the slot can be a good indicator of their ability to run routes deep. It is not always a true reflection of a receiver’s skill set because certain receivers are better in the slot, but they can't play more deep.

For instance, the Eagles Alshon Jeffery leads the league in the number of targets per game (4.8) but is ranked sixth in slot receiving score (58.5). This is because the majority of his targets come from outside, and it's a challenge to make a first down on a wide-open, deep route.

Some receivers are better at playing inside, whereas others struggle to do so on the outside. Robby Anderson, for example was given 978 snaps by the Panthers this season. He completed 74% of his routes in the slot, as opposed to only 26% of his boundary routes. This is a significant difference and shows how much more productive he is when aligned in the slot.

Moreover, the Buccaneers' Chris Godwin lines up inside on most of his passing downs and has a top five slot receiving score (58.5). He also ran 51% of his perimeter routes and is an expert in one-on-one coverage.

Speed receivers tend to be more efficient when they line up inside. They can be targeted further down the field and often face one-on-1 coverage. This is why you'll see names like Julio Jones, Mike Evans, and Amari Cooper in the top five of our list.

McDuffie, Moore and other slot cornerbacks are also in this group. Both have been able create pressures during the passing game and have McDuffie leading the NFL with seven forced fumbles and Moore having the highest tackle stop rate on this list (-3.5). By deploying McDuffie in the slot when they run nickel or dime packages, and then placing McDuffie on the outside in base defense, Spagnuolo has maximized his skills. Additionally, Moore's ability to stop big run plays has been a tremendous benefit when playing in the slot.

Percentage of Snaps Outside

While top NFL receivers such as Golden Tate, Larry Fitzgerald, and Baldwin excel on the perimeter but their slot counterparts are just as good. As a whole wide receivers who have high slot receiving grades score touchdowns roughly at the same amount as those who play on the outside. This is due to the fact that quarterbacks have a more stable target distribution when throwing to slot and outside receivers than to other inside options, such as tight ends and backfield pass-catchers.

It's also interesting to see a receiver such as CeeDee Lamb on this list in 2022, as he plays the slot in three WR sets, and flanker in two of them. He's running more routes in the slot than most of the players on this chart. This is a great way to create matchup benefits for your team and helps clarify why Lamb ranks as the highest-graded slot receiver in our system this season.

Lamb also plays at the X-position and makes huge plays on the outside. Lamb isn't nearly as explosive as the players in this list, but he's still an extremely high-quality receiver and is a perfect match for the Cowboys' scheme.

Mecole Hardman, a different player who is able to put huge numbers with both types of targets is a different example. He's among the best players in the game at throwing throws from behind his shoulders. He's also a superb contested-catch player.

Jalen Hilton is another player who is slot specialist. He's lined up in this position on 85.7 percent his defensive snaps to date. He's allowed the third-lowest target EPA and the fifth-best run stop EPA for cornerbacks that are aligned in the slot, which makes him a crucial player in the defense of his team. On the other hand, he's struggled to stop passes from the outside and has allowed a negative EPA against these kinds of targets. This is a result of playing with subpar linebackers and safeties that aren't able to match Hilton's size and speed, as well as his route-running abilities.